Vitoria Guimarães vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/10/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, SportsMax App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.92	0.26
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
17	5
Shots on Goal
9	2
Shots off Goal
5	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Free Kicks
8	10
Corner Kicks
5	5
Offsides
3	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
Fouls
7	7
Yellow Cards
0	2
Total Passes
525	436
Completed Passes
473	388
Crosses Completed
2	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Samu ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
36', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Gaspar B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Tiago Silva ⚽, Gustavo (A),
63', Dulca M. ↓, Lhernault C. ↑,
66', Bobicanec L. ↓, Kouter N. ↑,
67', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
67', Tiago Silva ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
67', Gustavo ↓, Santos N. ↑,
70', Kucys A. 🟨,
73', Kucys A. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
76', Samu ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
76', Handel T. ↓, Manu ↑,
87', Edmilson 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Brnic I. (A),

Chances of winning

Vitoria Guimarães
69.1%

Draw
19.2%

Celje
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

22.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Celje Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	4.88 ↑ (4.46)	8.11 ↑ (6.49)	6% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Celje?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Celje will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 82.1% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Now both teams are in good shape.
Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guimarães is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Celje?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Celje has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Celje were as follows:

03.08.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Celje 0:2

27.07.2023 Celje - Vitoria Guimarães 3:4

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

28.09.2024 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺

21.09.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Porto 0:3 ✺

15.09.2024 Braga - Vitoria Guimarães 0:2 ✺

01.09.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão 2:1 ✺

29.08.2024 Zrinjski Mostar - Vitoria Guimarães 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Celje

28.09.2024 NK Bravo - Celje 3:2 ✺

25.09.2024 Dravinja - Celje 0:3 ✺

22.09.2024 Domžale - Celje 0:3 ✺

18.09.2024 Celje - Maribor 2:1 ✺

15.09.2024 Celje - Nafta 3:1 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
2	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
3	Celje	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Mainz	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
7	Rayo Vallecano	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
8	Rakow	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Noah	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	7:3	4	3
13	Zrinjski	2	1	0	1	5:1	4	3
14	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
16	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
18	Legia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
19	Rijeka	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
20	Shkendija	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
21	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
23	Drita	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
24	Hacken	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
25	KuPS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
26	Omonia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
27	Shelbourne	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
28	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Univ. Craiova	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Breidablik	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
31	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
32	Hamrun	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
34	Dyn. Kyiv	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
35	SK Rapid	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0
36	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	2:9	-7	0

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