Vitoria Guimarães vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/10/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.920.26
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
51
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
810
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Fouls
77
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
525436
Completed Passes
473388
Crosses Completed
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Samu , Kaio Cesar (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Gustavo , Gaspar B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juanjo Nieto , Brnic I. ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Tiago Silva , Gustavo (A),
  • 63', Dulca M. , Lhernault C. ,
  • 66', Bobicanec L. , Kouter N. ,
  • 67', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 67', Tiago Silva , Ze Carlos ,
  • 67', Gustavo , Santos N. ,
  • 70', Kucys A. 🟨,
  • 73', Kucys A. , Edmilson ,
  • 76', Samu , Mendes J. ,
  • 76', Handel T. , Manu ,
  • 87', Edmilson 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Matko A. , Brnic I. (A),

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
69.1%
Draw
19.2%
Celje
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5% 22.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)
    4.88
    (4.46)
    8.11
    (6.49)
    6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Celje will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 82.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guimarães is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Celje were as follows:
    03.08.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Celje 0:2
    27.07.2023 Celje - Vitoria Guimarães 3:4
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Celje
    28.09.2024 NK Bravo - Celje 3:2
    25.09.2024 Dravinja - Celje 0:3
    22.09.2024 Domžale - Celje 0:3
    18.09.2024 Celje - Maribor 2:1
    15.09.2024 Celje - Nafta 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2