Real Madrid vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh TV
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	Canal 11, DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	2.45
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Goal Attempts
23	14
Shots on Goal
10	9
Shots off Goal
10	1
Blocked Shots
3	4
Free Kicks
9	11
Corner Kicks
8	5
Offsides
2	2
Throw-ins
14	15
Goalkeeper Saves
6	9
Fouls
11	9
Yellow Cards
4	2
Total Passes
512	398
Completed Passes
477	350
Crosses Completed
4	4
Interceptions
5	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
21', Morata A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Pen),
39', 1 - 2, Morata A. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valverde F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
46', Tchouameni A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
58', Camavinga E. 🟨,
63', Modric L. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
68', Lucas 🟨,
68', Militao E. 🟨,
70', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
70', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
71', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
74', Bellingham J. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
74', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
77', Leao R. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
85', Fofana Y. 🟨,
90+3', Emerson Royal ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
90+3', Musah Y. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
65.6%

Draw
19.7%

Milan
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

20.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Real Madrid - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.87 ↑ (4.6)	6.55 ↑ (5.57)	4.4% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : UniMás

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Milan?

Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 91 - 84.3%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.4% – 91.2%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury) Jovic L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Courtois T. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Milan: Calabria D. (Calf Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Real won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Milan?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Real Madrid?

Milan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Milan were as follows:

31.07.2024 Milan - Real Madrid 1:0

23.07.2023 Milan - Real Madrid 2:3

Latest results of Real Madrid

26.10.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4 ✺

22.10.2024 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 5:2 ✺

19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

05.10.2024 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:0 ✺

02.10.2024 Lille - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Milan

02.11.2024 Monza - Milan 0:1 ✺

29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2 ✺

22.10.2024 Milan - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺

19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0 ✺

06.10.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

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