Result
1:2
06/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 27
- Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bangladesh | Begin |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cuba | Tele Rebelde |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Madagascar | UpTV |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Disney+, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | SCTV 15, SCTV 22 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (407/471) | 91% (740/810) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (407/471) | 91% (740/810) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (61/88) | 82% (191/234) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Tchouameni A. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
- 31', Iglesias B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Guler A. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
- 69', Swedberg W. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 70', Jutgla F. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
- 70', Iglesias B. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
- 77', Diaz B. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
- 83', Mingueza O. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
- 86', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
- 90', Pitarch T. ↓, Moran M. A. ↑,
- 90', Asencio R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Moriba I. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Valverde F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Celta de Vigo
30.8% | Draw
28.5% | Real Madrid
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(4.21) |
3.37 ↓
(4.24) |
2.35 ↑
(1.73) |
3.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 16 - 19.8%). Real will win (votes: 57 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 9.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 60.5% – 80.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Celta (2.14) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Real (1.72) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Real (1.40) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- AH +1 - Celta (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - Celta (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Real (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Real (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Real (votes: 29 - 74.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.
- Celta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Real has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Celta: Duran P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Calf Injury)
Bellingham J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Carreras A.
(Yellow Cards)
Ceballos D.
(Muscle Injury)
Eder Militao
(Hamstring Injury)
Huijsen D.
(Yellow Cards)
Mastantuono F.
(Red Card)
Mbappe K.
(Knee Injury)
Rodrygo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Celta: Cervi F.
(Coach's decision)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 21:58. (average 1.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 1.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Real Madrid?
Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Celta de Vigo?
Real Madrid has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid were as follows:
07.12.2025
Real Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
0:2
04.05.2025
Real Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
3:2
16.01.2025
Real Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
5:2
19.10.2024
Celta de Vigo
-
Real Madrid
1:2
10.03.2024
Real Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
4:0
Latest results of Celta de Vigo
Latest results of Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 33 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 87:30 | 57 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid ✔ | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68:31 | 37 | 74 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 59:38 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 56:37 | 19 | 60 |
| 5 | Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 6 | Getafe | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 28:34 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 52:52 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 41 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Valencia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:48 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 14 | Elche | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 44:50 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Girona | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 38 |
| 16 | Alaves | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 40:55 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Levante | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 33 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
