Result
0:2
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 22
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (291/419) | 77% (342/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (291/419) | 77% (342/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 19% (14/72) | 55% (47/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (82/157) | 66% (65/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', Hillen R. 🟥,
- 14', Naujoks N. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 18', 0 - 1, Hansson E. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Yegoian I. ⚽, de Regt G. (A),
- 34', Candelaria J. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hansson E. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 52', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 55', Talvitie J. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
- 62', Zagre A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 63', Nassoh M. 🟨,
- 69', Jonathans M. 🟨,
- 70', Hartjes L. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
- 70', Schouten L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 73', Sowah K. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 73', Nassoh M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 73', Brym C. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 89', Leemans C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
50.7% | Draw
26.2% | Excelsior
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3%)
NAC Breda - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.95) |
3.62 ↑
(3.48) |
4.09 ↑
(3.63) |
5.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Excelsior (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Breda (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Excelsior has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Breda is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Breda: Jensen F.
(Injury)
Salama A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Breda: Kemper B.
(Injury)
Nassoh M.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: van Duinen M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Breda won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Excelsior?
NAC Breda has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against NAC Breda?
Excelsior has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Excelsior were as follows:
29.11.2025
Excelsior
-
NAC Breda
1:0
12.07.2025
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
0:1
20.07.2024
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
1:1
02.06.2024
Excelsior
-
NAC Breda
4:1
28.05.2024
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
6:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
