Groningen vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 18
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.300.82
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
52
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Passes
81% (387/478)76% (301/394)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.300.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.27
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
67
Passes
81% (387/478)76% (301/394)
Long passes
43% (15/35)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
66% (99/149)64% (58/91)
Crosses
13% (3/23)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.74
Throw ins
2524
Fouls
76
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4559
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.271.35
Goals prevented
1.271.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Valerius C. 🟨,
  • 41', Sowah K. 🟨,
  • 41', Peersman M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Soumano M. , Ayew A. ,
  • 65', Willumsson B. , Zawada O. ,
  • 72', Taha Y. , van der Werff D. ,
  • 77', van Hooijdonk S. , Nassoh M. ,
  • 85', Brym C. , Talvitie J. ,
  • 85', Kemper B. , Candelaria J. ,
  • 86', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 86', de Jonge T. , Land T. ,
  • 86', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,

Chances of winning


Groningen
56.6%
Draw
25.1%
NAC Breda
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 24.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 23.8% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Groningen - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.64)
    3.77
    (3.92)
    5.13
    (5.12)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Groningen - NAC Breda?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Breda (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Breda (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Groningen will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.38%97.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Groningen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Breda (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
    • Groningen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Candelaria J. (Injury) Kongolo T. (Health problems)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - NAC Breda were as follows:
    03.10.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:2
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    09.08.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 4:1
    07.04.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.10.2023 NAC Breda - Groningen 3:2
    Latest results of Groningen
    06.01.2026 Groningen - Bodø Glimt 0:4
    13.12.2025 Groningen - Volendam 3:0
    05.12.2025 Excelsior - Groningen 0:2
    02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0:1
    14.12.2025 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:1
    29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Willem II
    2TBD #3De Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye