Result
0:1
02/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (195/293) | 73% (230/316) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/124) | 52% (33/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (8/48) | 43% (6/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (8/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 68 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Rothe T. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
- 45+3', Ljubicic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ljubicic M. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
- 59', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 65', Rothe T. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
- 65', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Benes L. ↑,
- 70', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
- 70', Harres P. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
- 75', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
- 75', Tousart L. ↓, Volland K. ↑,
- 77', Volland K. 🟨,
- 83', Geschwill M. ↓, Javorcek D. ↑,
- 83', Zec D. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
- 90+5', Juranovic J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
60.6% | Draw
22.7% | Holstein Kiel
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.55) |
4.22 ↓
(4.45) |
5.73 ↓
(5.77) |
4.4%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 32.4% – 71.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A.
(Foot Injury)
Skov R.
(Ankle Injury)
Vogt K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
Nekic I.
(Muscle Injury)
Pichler B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F.
(Head Injury)
Tolkin J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Holstein Kiel?
Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Union Berlin?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
05.01.2025
Union Berlin
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
20.10.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Union Berlin
0:2
22.07.2023
Union Berlin
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP |
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
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 Australia | beIN Connect |
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 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
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 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Nova Sport |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+ |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
