RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

Bundesliga - Round 31
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
4.19	0.18
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
20	4
Shots on target
10	1
Big chances
9	2
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
87% (524/601)	72% (210/291)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
4.19	0.18
xG on target (xGOT)
4.10	0.11
Total shots
20	4
Shots on target
10	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
4	0
Shots inside the box
15	2
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
3	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
9	2
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
37	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
10	6
Passes
87% (524/601)	72% (210/291)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (93/134)	54% (37/69)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.26	0.29
Throw ins
17	11
Fouls
6	10
Tackles
87% (13/15)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
55	53
Clearances
19	36
Interceptions
1	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.11	4.10
Goals prevented
-0.89	1.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Finkgrafe M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ⚽,
31', Ronnow F. ↓, Klaus C. ↑,
34', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Ilic A. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
59', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
59', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Baku R. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
68', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
68', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Doekhi D. ⚽, Juranovic J. (A),
79', Diomande Y. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
79', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
83', Schafer A. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
84', Leite D. 🟨,
90', Nusa A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
66.1%

Draw
19.6%

Union Berlin
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.4%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

RB Leipzig - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.9 ↓ (5.15)	6.68 ↓ (7.7)	4.6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 42 - 82.4%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 3.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 71.9% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - RB Leipzig (2.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 60%). Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
RB Leipzig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Union Berlin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
We predict that RB Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Union Berlin?

RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Union Berlin were as follows:

12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1

01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0

14.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 0:0

04.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 2:0

03.09.2023 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:3

Latest results of RB Leipzig

18.04.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 1:3 ✺

11.04.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺

20.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 5:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

18.04.2026 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺

05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	31	26	4	1	113:32	81	82
2	Dortmund	31	20	7	4	65:31	34	67
3	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	62:38	24	62
4	Stuttgart	31	17	6	8	63:43	20	57
5	Hoffenheim	31	17	6	8	61:45	16	57
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	16	7	8	62:42	20	55
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	11	10	10	56:58	-2	43
8	Freiburg	31	12	7	12	44:52	-8	43
9	Augsburg	31	10	7	14	39:55	-16	37
10	Mainz	31	8	10	13	39:49	-10	34
11	B. Monchengladbach	31	7	11	13	36:50	-14	32
12	Werder Bremen	31	8	8	15	36:54	-18	32
13	Union Berlin	31	8	8	15	35:55	-20	32
14	FC Koln	31	7	10	14	45:53	-8	31
15	Hamburger SV	31	7	10	14	34:50	-16	31
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26:53	-27	26
17	Wolfsburg	31	6	7	18	41:66	-25	25
18	Heidenheim	31	5	7	19	35:66	-31	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )