RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
24/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4P
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.190.18
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
101
Big chances
92
Corner kicks
104
Passes
87% (524/601)72% (210/291)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
4.190.18
xG on target (xGOT)
4.100.11
Total shots
204
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
152
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
30
Headed goals
01
Big chances
92
Corner kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
379
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
106
Passes
87% (524/601)72% (210/291)
Long passes
47% (23/49)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (93/134)54% (37/69)
Crosses
10% (2/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.260.29
Throw ins
1711
Fouls
610
Tackles
87% (13/15)48% (11/23)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
1936
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.114.10
Goals prevented
-0.891.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Finkgrafe M. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ,
  • 31', Ronnow F. , Klaus C. ,
  • 34', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Ilic A. , Ansah I. ,
  • 59', Haberer J. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 59', Trimmel C. , Juranovic J. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Baku R. , Diomande Y. (A),
  • 68', Ouedraogo A. , Harder C. ,
  • 68', Romulo Cardoso , Gruda B. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Doekhi D. , Juranovic J. (A),
  • 79', Diomande Y. , Bakayoko J. ,
  • 79', Baku R. , Henrichs B. ,
  • 83', Schafer A. , Burcu L. ,
  • 84', Leite D. 🟨,
  • 90', Nusa A. , Gomis T. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
66.1%
Draw
19.6%
Union Berlin
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 18.4% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 17.6% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • RB Leipzig - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.37)
    4.9
    (5.15)
    6.68
    (7.7)
    4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 42 - 82.4%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 3.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 71.9%92.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - RB Leipzig (2.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 60%). Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
    • RB Leipzig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that RB Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Union Berlin were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1
    01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0
    14.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 0:0
    04.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 2:0
    03.09.2023 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    18.04.2026 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:2
    11.04.2026 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 3:1
    05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1
    15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 312641113:328182
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig31195762:382462
    4Stuttgart31176863:432057
    5Hoffenheim31176861:451657
    6Bayer Leverkusen31167862:422055
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3111101056:58-243
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg311071439:55-1637
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    12Werder Bremen31881536:54-1832
    13Union Berlin31881535:55-2032
    14FC Koln317101445:53-831
    15Hamburger SV317101434:50-1631
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim31571935:66-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )