Result
3:3
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/339) | 77% (230/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.36 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/339) | 77% (230/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (113/166) | 66% (69/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 3.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Palacz K. (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Rodrigues I. ⚽, Czubak K. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Palacz K. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑,
- 51', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 52', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 3, Wolski B. ⚽,
- 59', Viunnyk B. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 62', Ndiaye M. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
- 68', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 69', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 69', Kapic R. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 76', Bobcek T. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 3, Mena C. ⚽, Jaunzems A. (A),
- 80', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
- 80', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 82', Awad M. 🟨,
- 84', Ede B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
45.5% | Draw
26.1% | Motor Lublin
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.22) |
3.66 ↑
(3.18) |
3.45 ↑
(3.19) |
4.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Motor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Lechia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Motor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
- Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Bartos M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Motor Lublin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Motor Lublin has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin were as follows:
05.07.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
5:3
01.02.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
26.07.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Motor Lublin
0:2
16.12.2023
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
28.07.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Motor Lublin
0:1
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
