Result
2:3
15/02/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 21
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (309/412) | 66% (195/296) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (309/412) | 66% (195/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 31% (18/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (56/107) | 56% (60/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Vojtko M. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Wolski B. ⚽, Fabio Ronaldo (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Mena C. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Vojtko M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Rodin M. (Own goal),
- 52', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
- 54', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
- 56', Kapic R. 🟨,
- 59', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
- 68', Luberecki F. 🟨,
- 72', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 72', Bartos M. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
- 72', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 74', Brkic I. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 3, Mena C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Pllana B. 🟨,
- 78', Kurminowski D. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 82', Neugebauer T. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 85', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 85', Wolski B. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 87', Cirkovic A. ↓, Dyachuk M. ↑,
- 90', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Paulsen A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
41.6% | Draw
26.6% | Lechia Gdańsk
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.63) |
3.52 ↑
(3.18) |
2.97 ↑
(2.35) |
6.2%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Lechia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Motor (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Motor (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 3.
- Motor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lechia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Yellow Cards)
Dyachuk M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Motor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Motor Lublin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Motor Lublin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
11.08.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Motor Lublin
3:3
05.07.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
5:3
01.02.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
26.07.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Motor Lublin
0:2
16.12.2023
Motor Lublin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
