Result
18:28
10/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 6
- Referee: Gee A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 80 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 192 | 195 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1614 | 1723 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 16)
- 7', Garrick R. (Try),
- 9', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', Trbojevic T. (Try),
- 17', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Garrick R. (Try),
- 19', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Leilua L. (Try),
- 33', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Liddle J. (Try),
- 37', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 12)
- 45', Setu T. (Try),
- 46', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Hetherington K. (Try),
- 55', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
St. George Illawarra Dragons
31.8% | Draw
4.2% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.18) |
22.12 ↑
(20.62) |
1.45 ↓
(1.75) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 2.
- St. George Illawarra is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Manly-Warringah's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- St. George Illawarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Manly-Warringah is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 427:390. (average 21.4:19.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 312:210. (average 24:16.2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. George Illawarra Dragons won against Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
St. George Illawarra Dragons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles won against St. George Illawarra Dragons?
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
30.08.2025
St. George Illawarra Dragons
-
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
24:40
17.04.2025
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
-
St. George Illawarra Dragons
18:20
16.06.2024
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
-
St. George Illawarra Dragons
30:14
30.03.2024
St. George Illawarra Dragons
-
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
20:12
29.07.2023
St. George Illawarra Dragons
-
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
18:24
Latest results of St. George Illawarra Dragons
Latest results of Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
| 2 | Wests Tigers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 156:92 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 194:118 | 8 |
| 4 | Manly Sea Eagles | 6 | 3 | 3 | 178:140 | 8 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 6 | 4 | 2 | 154:142 | 8 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 144:132 | 8 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 101:96 | 8 |
| 8 | NQ Cowboys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 165:181 | 8 |
| 9 | Sydney Roosters | 5 | 3 | 2 | 115:138 | 8 |
| 10 | Cronulla Sharks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 158:152 | 6 |
| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 5 | 2 | 3 | 116:142 | 6 |
| 13 | Melbourne Storm | 6 | 2 | 4 | 160:158 | 4 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 126:148 | 4 |
| 15 | Canberra Raiders | 6 | 2 | 4 | 115:182 | 4 |
| 16 | Parramatta Eels | 6 | 2 | 4 | 124:226 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86:173 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
