Result
3:2
19/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 36
- Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Finland | MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/399) | 83% (388/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/399) | 83% (388/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (101/129) | 68% (79/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Horta A. 🟨,
- 24', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
- 36', Montero J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 64', Rodriguez R. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
- 64', Dorrio J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Ochoa A. (A),
- 72', Horta A. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
- 72', Puigmal A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 78', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 82', Montero J. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
- 82', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Abaida H. ⚽, Nino A. (A),
- 87', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Morcillo J. (A),
- 90+2', Dotor C. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
- 90+2', Puga C. 🟨,
- 90+7', Thalys 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almería
51.2% | Draw
24.5% | Málaga
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Almería - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.83) |
3.85 ↓
(3.89) |
3.86 ↓
(3.95) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Marbella Football Center.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
- Almería has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Málaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almería could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Almería: Gui Guedes
(Muscle Injury)
Lopy D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Málaga: Larrubia D.
(Foot Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Ankle Injury)
Juanpe
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Málaga?
Almería has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Almería?
Málaga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Málaga were as follows:
21.12.2025
Málaga
-
Almería
2:1
26.07.2025
Almería
-
Málaga
1:2
01.03.2025
Almería
-
Málaga
2:2
08.12.2024
Málaga
-
Almería
1:1
27.07.2024
Málaga
-
Almería
0:1
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 75:55 | 20 | 69 |
| 2 | Almeria | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 74:56 | 18 | 67 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 57:40 | 17 | 65 |
| 4 | Castellon | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 64:46 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 49:31 | 18 | 63 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 61 |
| 7 | Eibar | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 45:32 | 13 | 61 |
| 8 | Malaga | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 62:47 | 15 | 60 |
| 9 | Andorra | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 56:47 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 52:55 | -3 | 54 |
| 11 | Gijon | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 50:47 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Ceuta | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 44:57 | -13 | 51 |
| 13 | Albacete | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 47 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 19 | Huesca | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37:55 | -18 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:60 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 33:60 | -27 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
