Almería vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
29/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 3
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.231.92
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2918
Shots on target
106
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Passes
78% (292/374)80% (336/418)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
3.231.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.791.42
Total shots
2918
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
123
Blocked shots
79
Shots inside the box
2510
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
01
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1513
Passes
78% (292/374)80% (336/418)
Long passes
40% (23/58)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
68% (65/95)72% (89/123)
Crosses
38% (6/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.54
Throw ins
1519
Fouls
1315
Tackles
64% (14/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6641
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
1.423.79
Goals prevented
0.42-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ,
  • 31', Carbonell T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Luna M. , Chirino D. ,
  • 51', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Arribas S. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 61', Astiazaran L. , Mariezkurrena A. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 61', Marchal A. , Diaz D. ,
  • 63', Carrera G. 🟨,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Carrera G. , Gorosabel G. (A),
  • 68', Puigmal A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 68', Lopy D. , Dzodic S. ,
  • 68', Arribas S. , Melamed N. ,
  • 69', Fraga A. 🟨,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Embarba A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 76', de la Fuente M. , Soko P. ,
  • 77', 5 - 1, Munoz A. ,
  • 79', Balda J. , Agote U. ,
  • 79', Carbonell T. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 80', Aguirre I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almería
60.7%
Draw
21.3%
Real Sociedad B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Almería - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.56)
    4.46
    (4.22)
    5.22
    (5.26)
    6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Almería - Real Sociedad B?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Almería (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Almería (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Almería (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Almería (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Almería (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Almería (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Almería (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • Almería is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real Sociedad B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (International duty) Gui Guedes (Injury) Leo Baptistao (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ochieng J. (International duty) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Real Sociedad B were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    20.03.2026 Huesca - Almería 1:3
    14.03.2026 Zaragoza - Almería 2:0
    09.03.2026 Almería - Leonesa 3:0
    21.02.2026 Almería - Córdoba 2:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Almeria372071074:561867
    3Dep. La Coruna371811857:401765
    4Castellon371810964:461864
    5Las Palmas371712849:311863
    6Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    7Eibar3717101045:321361
    8Malaga371791162:471560
    9Andorra3715101256:47955
    10Cordoba371591352:55-354
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3712111448:51-347
    14Granada CF3711121447:49-245
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3710121540:44-442
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF371081934:53-1938
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza378111833:50-1735
    22Cultural Leonesa37882133:60-2732

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