Result
1:0
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Cartmel W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (235/368) | 54% (136/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (235/368) | 54% (136/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 31% (24/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (110/189) | 41% (38/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/43) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 48 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 66 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Neal H. 🟨,
- 59', Kacurri M. 🟨,
- 61', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
- 61', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 72', Powell J. 🟨,
- 72', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 77', Clark M. 🟨,
- 86', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 86', Cook A. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 87', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 89', Powell J. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
- 89', Helm M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
- 90+4', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 90+8', Bonds E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
46% | Draw
27.5% | Fleetwood Town
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.78) |
3.39 ↓
(3.5) |
3.51 ↓
(4.06) |
7.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 14).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Pym C.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Coughlan R.
(Inactive)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Grimsby Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
01.01.2026
Fleetwood Town
-
Grimsby Town
0:1
22.02.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
10.08.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:0
29.07.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:0
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
