Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 34
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.21	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.86
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
10	1
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
30	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	5
Free kicks
13	18
Passes
63% (155/245)	73% (309/422)
Long passes
31% (24/78)	33% (24/73)
Passes in final third
52% (64/122)	54% (69/128)
Crosses
62% (8/13)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.88
Throw ins
13	28
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
63% (10/16)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
53	63
Clearances
32	27
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.86	0.90
Goals prevented
0.86	-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Balmer K. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Akhamrich Y. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
45+1', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Harrison E. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Akhamrich Y. ⚽,
66', Quigley J. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
66', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
69', McJannet C. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
71', Smallwood R. 🟨,
79', Green K. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
83', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
89', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
90', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
30.4%

Draw
27.8%

Grimsby Town
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	7.2% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 10).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive) Sparkes J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Grimsby Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town were as follows:

30.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

03.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Walsall 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

18.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Walsall 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Newport County - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One