Result
1:1
05/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
- 56', Iwao K. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Pisek J. (A),
- 65', Nascimento F. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 65', Kanach R. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
- 65', Senger M. 🟨,
- 67', Barczak N. 🟨,
- 68', Przybylko K. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
- 73', Losada M. 🟨,
- 76', Kasolik K. 🟨,
- 78', Kavcic M. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
- 83', Iwao K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 83', Simon C. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 84', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 89', Szeliga B. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 89', Domanski M. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
- 90+2', Stepien K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Diez A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice
43.3% | Draw
27.5% | Stal Mielec
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.18) |
3.39 ↓
(3.5) |
3.16 ↑
(2.98) |
8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Puszcza Niepołomice will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2.
- In recent matches, Puszcza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stal Mielec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Puszcza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Stal Mielec?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Stal Mielec has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec were as follows:
23.09.2025
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:2
12.05.2025
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
2:3
10.11.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
09.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
07.08.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
