Chrobry Głogów vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
77
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
89
Corner kicks
77
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1216
Throw ins
1722
Fouls
1512

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Tsykalo Y. (Own goal),
  • 27', Matynia H. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Bak R. , Mandrysz R. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Gric J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Matynia H. , Kavcic M. ,
  • 61', Bartlewicz S. , Szablowski J. ,
  • 67', Strozik S. , Ozimek M. ,
  • 67', Bonecki S. , Lewkot S. ,
  • 73', Cybulski K. , Kowalski J. ,
  • 83', Mazur M. 🟨,
  • 86', Kruszelnicki P. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 86', Pisek J. , Domanski M. ,
  • 89', Diez A. , Odolak K. ,
  • 90+4', Bak R. , Zarowny A. ,

Chances of winning


Chrobry Głogów
39.4%
Draw
28.4%
Stal Mielec
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.9% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 28.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.58)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    2.91
    (2.53)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 2.
    • Chrobry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stal Mielec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chrobry won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów 1:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2