Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 9
- Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (237/329) | 85% (459/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (237/329) | 85% (459/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 56% (33/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (39/86) | 80% (168/209) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 28', Moro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Jensen Tue C. ⚽, Alkhoudari B. (A),
- 60', Moro A. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 60', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
- 71', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 74', Kolskogen O. 🟨,
- 77', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 77', Brodersen R. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 80', Brandhof F. 🟨,
- 80', Doua S. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
- 81', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
- 87', Rasmussen M. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
20.5% | Draw
24.1% | Horsens
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+5%)
HB Køge - Horsens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↓
(5.09) |
3.93 ↓
(4.03) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
6.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Horsens?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Horsens will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1.
- Køge is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Horsens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Horsens is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Køge won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Horsens?
HB Køge has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against HB Køge?
Horsens has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Horsens were as follows:
24.11.2024
Horsens
-
HB Køge
0:0
11.08.2024
HB Køge
-
Horsens
0:2
01.06.2024
Horsens
-
HB Køge
1:1
01.04.2024
HB Køge
-
Horsens
5:0
03.11.2023
HB Køge
-
Horsens
1:4
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Horsens | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | B.93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Hobro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Koge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
