Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 27
- Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/353) | 82% (376/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/353) | 82% (376/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (37/74) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (67/118) | 75% (126/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Jensen M. ⚽,
- 29', Sorensen V. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 1, Adedeji J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Westergren M. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
- 45+3', Arnorsson N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Olsson C. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 49', Adedeji J. 🟨,
- 56', Kubel M. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,
- 70', Maarup A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
- 77', Bust L. 🟨,
- 82', Adedeji J. ↓, Noshe A. ↑,
- 86', Semovski E. 🟨,
- 86', Gothler A. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
38% | Draw
26.1% | Aalborg BK
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HB Køge's performance.Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalborg BK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HB Køge that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalborg BK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HB Køge - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.84) |
3.58 ↑
(3.53) |
2.58 ↑
(2.27) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Aalborg BK?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Aalborg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Aalborg BK?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against HB Køge?
Aalborg BK has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Aalborg BK were as follows:
02.10.2025
Aalborg BK
-
HB Køge
2:1
10.08.2025
HB Køge
-
Aalborg BK
0:2
03.12.2023
HB Køge
-
Aalborg BK
1:2
22.09.2023
Aalborg BK
-
HB Køge
2:0
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 43 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 42 |
| 5 | Horsens | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Superliga
