Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 15
  • Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
102
Corner Kicks
74
Free Kicks
1622

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Kokoev D. ,
  • 36', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
  • 41', Tolstopyatov N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Shiltsov K. , Sukhomlinov D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 54', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
  • 59', Antonov A. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 63', Sitdikov M. 🟨,
  • 65', Sitdikov M. , Musalov M. ,
  • 65', Mashukov I. , Dzhamilov S. ,
  • 77', Nikolaev O. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 82', Zhigulev I. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 90+2', Morozov K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
43.2%
Draw
30.1%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 32.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 32.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.25)
    3.13
    (2.85)
    3.53
    (3.4)
    6.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chernomorets: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chernomorets Novorossiysk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In recent matches, Chernomorets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Neftekhimik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk were as follows:
    19.05.2025 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    19.10.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0:0
    26.11.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0:1
    06.08.2023 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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