Groningen vs Zwolle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
23/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 13
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.91
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
385
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
130
Passes
83% (450/545)74% (241/327)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.91
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.76
Total shots
385
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
150
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
201
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
130
Touches in opposition box
6310
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
911
Passes
83% (450/545)74% (241/327)
Long passes
58% (29/50)14% (7/49)
Passes in final third
75% (192/257)66% (38/58)
Crosses
29% (12/42)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
3.691.31
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
119
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
958
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
111
xGOT faced
1.762.11
Goals prevented
-0.240.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Oosting T. , Aertssen O. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. , Resink S. (A),
  • 44', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 2, Floranus S. , Aertssen O. (A),
  • 60', Floranus S. , Gooijer T. ,
  • 60', Monteiro J. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 60', de Rooij K. , Mbayo D. ,
  • 62', Shoretire S. 🟨,
  • 65', van der Werff D. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 72', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
  • 76', de Jonge T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 76', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,
  • 76', Taha Y. , Zawada O. ,
  • 77', Janse D. 🟨,
  • 79', Mbayo D. , Ruward D. ,
  • 79', Oosting T. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 82', Schreuders J. , Land T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, van Bergen T. , Prins W. (A),

Chances of winning


Groningen
63%
Draw
22.3%
Zwolle
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 23.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 25.2% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Groningen - Zwolle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.58)
    4.25
    (4.03)
    6.39
    (5.76)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Groningen - Zwolle?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 76.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Groningen (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.
    • Groningen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Zwolle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Gooijer T. (Injury) Lagsir S. (Inactive) Schendelaar J. (Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Zwolle were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Zwolle - Groningen 2:0
    08.12.2024 Groningen - Zwolle 0:0
    05.08.2023 Zwolle - Groningen 0:0
    Latest results of Groningen
    09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0
    02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1
    Latest results of Zwolle
    08.11.2025 Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
    02.11.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 8:2
    28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4
    25.10.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    18.10.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 2:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie