Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 23
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/419) | 82% (370/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/419) | 82% (370/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 56% (37/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (87/131) | 66% (77/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Zechiel G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Taha Y. ⚽, Mercera T. (A),
- 62', Alarcon A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 73', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 73', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, de Wit D. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
- 79', van der Werff D. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 85', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 85', van Bergen T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 86', Land T. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
- 86', Engwanda A. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Karlsson J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Groningen
48.5% | Draw
27.5% | Utrecht
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Groningen - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.01) |
3.44 ↑
(3.35) |
3.92 ↑
(3.6) |
5.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Groningen - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 38.8% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Groningen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Injury)
Haller S.
(Ribs Injury)
Horemans S.
(Inactive)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
Min D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: de Jonge T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Utrecht were as follows:
14.09.2025
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:1
13.04.2025
Utrecht
-
Groningen
3:1
20.10.2024
Groningen
-
Utrecht
0:1
07.04.2023
Groningen
-
Utrecht
1:2
23.12.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:3
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of Utrecht
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
