Kisvárda vs MTK Budapest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 19
  • Referee: Rusz M. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.531.75
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
36
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
114
Passes
78% (346/446)73% (263/360)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.531.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.53
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
98
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
812
Passes
78% (346/446)73% (263/360)
Long passes
42% (31/73)43% (32/74)
Passes in final third
64% (100/156)57% (50/87)
Crosses
17% (7/42)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.511.79
Throw ins
2220
Fouls
128
Tackles
47% (9/19)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1356
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.531.00
Goals prevented
-0.47-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Molnar A. , Nemeth H. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Biro B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mesanovic J. , Novothny S. ,
  • 58', Melnyk B. , Popoola R. ,
  • 58', Cipetic B. , Matanovic M. ,
  • 63', Kerezsi Z. , Kata M. ,
  • 63', Atrok I. , Jurek G. ,
  • 63', Polievka R. , Nemeth K. ,
  • 72', Popoola R. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Molnar A. ,
  • 74', Yordanov T. , Pinter F. ,
  • 74', Nagy K. , Lippai T. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Szor L. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Lippai T. ,
  • 85', Nemeth H. , Armalas V. ,
  • 90+1', Molnar A. , Kovacs P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kisvárda
46.2%
Draw
26.6%
MTK Budapest
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.
  • MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Kisvárda - MTK Budapest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.33)
    3.51
    (3.37)
    3.39
    (2.91)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kisvárda - MTK Budapest?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kisvárda will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kisvárda: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - MTK (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kisvárda will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 2 - 66.7%). MTK (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 2.
    • Recent performances by Kisvárda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • MTK is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, MTK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - MTK Budapest were as follows:
    28.09.2025 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 4:0
    02.04.2024 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 3:2
    17.03.2024 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 2:1
    25.11.2023 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 3:1
    11.08.2023 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 0:0
    Latest results of Kisvárda
    21.12.2025 Debreceni - Kisvárda 0:1
    07.12.2025 Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda 3:0
    04.12.2025 Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi 0:1
    30.11.2025 Kisvárda - Ujpest 3:0
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    13.12.2025 MTK Budapest - Ujpest 3:4
    06.12.2025 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 3:1
    29.11.2025 Győri ETO - MTK Budapest 3:0
    23.11.2025 Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest 4:0
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gyor27158453:282553
    2Ferencvaros26155650:282250
    3Debrecen27129641:32945
    4Zalaegerszegi27119741:32942
    5Paks27118849:381141
    6Kisvarda271161033:40-739
    7Puskas Academy261061032:32036
    8Ujpest27961235:44-933
    9Nyiregyhaza27881138:45-732
    10MTK Budapest27771345:56-1128
    11DVTK275101234:47-1325
    12Kazincbarcika27522026:55-2917

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.