Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/375) | 92% (587/639) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (322/375) | 92% (587/639) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 50% (15/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 81% (135/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Gbamin J. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽, Vaz R. (A),
- 64', Vaz R. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 64', Gomes A. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, O'Riley M. ⚽, Gouiri A. (A),
- 76', 0 - 3, Gouiri A. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
- 79', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 79', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
- 79', Diallo H. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
- 80', Weah T. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 80', Paixao I. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 85', O'Riley M. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metz
12.3% | Draw
20.2% | Olympique Marseille
67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Metz - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.5 ↑
(6.12) |
4.95 ↑
(4.46) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
-0.2%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Metz - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 69.1% – 96.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Marseille (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Marseille (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
- Metz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marseille is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Muscle Injury)
Stambouli B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Medina F.
(Ankle Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Olympique Marseille?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Metz?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
09.02.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Metz
1:1
18.08.2023
Metz
-
Olympique Marseille
2:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
