Lugo vs Celta de Vigo B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Gavian P. 🟨,
  • 21', Caballo D. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Alba T. ,
  • 32', Gaya J. 🟨,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jose Amo , Nicholas N. ,
  • 46', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 55', Miller G. , Gonzalez H. ,
  • 55', Bilbao L. , Somuah B. ,
  • 61', Gaya J. 🟨,
  • 65', Junior L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez A. , de la Iglesia D. ,
  • 65', Capdevila A. , Arceo C. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Unzueta I. ,
  • 73', Lopez I. , Trigueros P. ,
  • 73', Alba T. , Balboa A. ,
  • 80', Samanes S. 🟨,
  • 83', Antanon A. , Marin A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90', Presa K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
54.8%
Draw
26.4%
Celta de Vigo B
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 30.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Celta de Vigo B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.45)
    3.72
    (3.03)
    5.38
    (2.79)
    2.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Celta de Vigo B is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Celta de Vigo B were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    19.10.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 1:0
    03.08.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 0:1
    14.04.2024 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 4:1
    02.01.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    04.10.2025 Lugo - Cacereño 1:0
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo B
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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