Result
0:0
19/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Pastrana V. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
- 16', Presa K. 🟨,
- 45', 🟨,
- 45+6', 🟨,
- 45+6', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', 🟨,
- 51', 🟥,
- 79', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo
41.7% | Draw
30.3% | Talavera de la Reina
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Lugo - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.05) |
3.06 ↓
(3.26) |
3.31 ↓
(3.53) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Talavera de la Reina?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Lugo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Talavera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Lugo?
Talavera de la Reina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
26.09.2025
Talavera de la Reina
-
Lugo
1:0
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
