Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Roberto ⚽, Bruno Rodrigues (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Herrero T. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
- 46', Menino M. ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
- 48', Jaiminho 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 62', Rodrigues A. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 62', Esajas R. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
- 65', Matias M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
- 68', Alysson 🟨,
- 72', Sangare B. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
- 72', Alysson ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
- 73', Romero A. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 73', Roberto ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 76', Pinho P. 🟨,
- 81', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 86', Alex Pinto 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chaves
38.9% | Draw
30.6% | Farense
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chaves's form might have worsened.Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Chaves - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.08) |
3.03 ↓
(3.22) |
3.07 ↓
(3.57) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Farense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Farense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.
- Chaves is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Farense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chaves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Farense?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Chaves?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Farense were as follows:
28.09.2025
Farense
-
Chaves
0:2
04.02.2024
Chaves
-
Farense
1:1
26.08.2023
Farense
-
Chaves
5:0
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
