Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Ktatau 🟨,
- 34', Martins H. 🟨,
- 35', Berna ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 0, Lucas Duarte ⚽, Landinho (A),
- 45+3', Alves R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Simoes T. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 46', Muscat Z. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 46', Martins H. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
- 56', Santos Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 56', Landinho 🟨,
- 66', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 69', Joao Teixeira ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 71', Pinho P. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 71', Kusso D. ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 72', Kiko 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Duarte ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 75', Rosas P. 🟨,
- 76', Eiro 🟨,
- 84', Leite T. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 90+7', Felipe Scheibig 🟨,
- 90+9', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Felgueiras
44.2% | Draw
29.4% | Chaves
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Felgueiras - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.4) |
3.15 ↓
(3.18) |
3.5 ↑
(2.95) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Felgueiras - Chaves?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Felgueiras (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felgueiras will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- Felgueiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Felgueiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Chaves?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Felgueiras?
Chaves has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felgueiras - Chaves were as follows:
22.08.2025
Chaves
-
Felgueiras
1:1
15.02.2025
Chaves
-
Felgueiras
2:0
14.09.2024
Felgueiras
-
Chaves
1:2
20.07.2024
Felgueiras
-
Chaves
1:0
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
