Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 37
- Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (184/252) | 82% (326/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (184/252) | 82% (326/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 70% (73/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Merino I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Escobar J. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
- 46', Molina M. ↓, Luismi ↑,
- 48', Chupe 🟨,
- 62', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
- 65', Lobete J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
- 65', Chupe ↓, Dioni ↑,
- 67', Galilea E. 🟨,
- 69', Suero I. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez R. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 72', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 76', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 80', Luismi 🟨,
- 82', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 82', Medina K. 🟨,
- 84', Cordero A. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 85', Chirino D. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
- 90+1', Pastor A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Larrubia D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr2uvbka
Chances of winning
Málaga
27.7% | Draw
28.2% | Castellón
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Málaga's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Málaga - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.62) |
3.34 ↑
(3.03) |
2.15 ↓
(2.79) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Málaga - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 and 16).
- Málaga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castellón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Lorenzo D.
(Inactive)
Luismi
(Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Gil O.
(Injury)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Monte N.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Castellón?
Málaga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Málaga?
Castellón has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Castellón were as follows:
01.12.2024
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:0
21.01.2024
Málaga
-
Castellón
0:1
26.08.2023
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Gijon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Valladolid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Cadiz CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Malaga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Eibar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Andorra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Huesca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Burgos CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Almeria | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Leganes | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Ceuta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Castellon | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Albacete | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 1 |
| 21 | Granada CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
