Castellón vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 36
  • Referee: Perez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.630.97
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
71
Passes
83% (398/482)75% (206/276)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
2.630.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.270.88
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
399
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1913
Passes
83% (398/482)75% (206/276)
Long passes
42% (15/36)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
80% (145/181)43% (20/46)
Crosses
19% (4/21)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.43
Throw ins
2911
Fouls
1715
Tackles
70% (14/20)64% (18/28)
Duels won
6354
Clearances
729
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.882.27
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Camara O. , Alcazar L. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Curro (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
  • 35', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 40', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lizancos A. , Bunuel A. ,
  • 48', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 56', Ronaldo , Cipenga B. ,
  • 56', Brignani F. , Sienra A. ,
  • 62', Camara O. 🟨,
  • 62', Curro 🟨,
  • 64', Mollejo V. , Cordoba I. ,
  • 64', Appin K. , Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ,
  • 71', Santiago P. , Mabil A. ,
  • 76', Curro , Luengo O. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. , Mabil A. (A),
  • 80', Gonzalez S. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Mabil A. , Jakobsen A. (A),
  • 83', Jakobsen A. , Suero I. ,
  • 83', Calatrava A. , Doue M. ,
  • 90', Camara O. , Garcia A. ,
  • 90+1', Nino F. , Mejia M. ,
  • 90+7', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3a8du8er

Chances of winning


Castellón
56.3%
Draw
25.7%
Burgos
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 25.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 28.7% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Castellón - Burgos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.75)
    3.67
    (3.64)
    5.16
    (4.65)
    6.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Burgos?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Burgos (4.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Castellón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burgos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mellot J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Sienra A. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Burgos were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Burgos - Castellón 0:0
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    01.09.2024 Burgos - Castellón 0:2
    Latest results of Castellón
    12.04.2026 Mirandés - Castellón 2:2
    06.04.2026 Castellón - Granada 3:2
    02.04.2026 Castellón - Almería 2:0
    23.03.2026 Castellón - Leonesa 1:1
    Latest results of Burgos
    01.04.2026 Burgos - Ceuta 1:1
    28.03.2026 Valladolid - Burgos 0:1
    22.03.2026 Burgos - Córdoba 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation