Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Gomez R. (Pen),
- 27', Parkins R. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Campbell J. ⚽, Hernandez A. (A),
- 37', John Kleber 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lucumi J. ↓, Campos D. ↑,
- 59', Mejia C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 66', Nunez J. ↓, Crisanto L. ↑,
- 72', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 75', Salazar A. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
- 75', Cisneros R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 84', Gomez R. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
- 85', Serrano J. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
- 85', John Kleber ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 87', Campbell J. 🟨,
- 88', Hernandez A. ↓, Demetrius T. ↑,
- 89', Pinar F. ↓, Quesada E. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Campos D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Motagua
32.9% | Draw
32.6% | Alajuelense
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Motagua - Alajuelense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.03) |
2.85 ↑
(2.29) |
2.69 ↓
(3.09) |
7.6%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- Motagua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alajuelense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Alajuelense has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Alajuelense?
Motagua has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alajuelense won against Motagua?
Alajuelense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Alajuelense were as follows:
23.09.2025
Alajuelense
-
Motagua
0:1
31.08.2023
Alajuelense
-
Motagua
5:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Alajuelense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Miguelito (4) | Xelaju (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Plaza Amador (1) | Real Espana (8) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Olimpia (2) | Cartagines (7) | 3 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Motagua (3) | Alajuelense (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Xelaju (5) | Real Espana (8) | |
| 2 | Olimpia (2) | Alajuelense (6) | |
Final
