Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Reyes A. ⚽,
- 35', Ardon C. ↓, Guity E. ↑,
- 39', Santos M. 🟨,
- 42', Garcia J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 45', Rochez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Reyes A. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
- 46', Lopez E. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
- 58', Santos M. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
- 58', Mejia C. ↓, Da Silva R. L. ↑,
- 58', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 61', Vasquez E. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 61', Rochez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 66', Guity E. 🟨,
- 68', Ortiz L. 🟨,
- 78', Gomez R. ↓, Discua O. ↑,
- 88', Rochez C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
63.6% | Draw
22.5% | Lobos UPNFM
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motagua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+4%)
Motagua - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.61) |
4.12 ↑
(3.35) |
6.7 ↑
(4.6) |
7.8%
(13.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
- We predict that Motagua will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Motagua?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
27.11.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:0
13.09.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
07.04.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
2:1
06.02.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
5:0
28.09.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:2
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
