Result
2:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 16
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (365/456) | 70% (190/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (365/456) | 70% (190/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 34% (25/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (88/147) | 51% (42/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Simpson J. 🟨,
- 16', Sweeney P. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Wareham J. (Pen),
- 44', Clare S. 🟨,
- 45', Wellens R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Brierley E. 🟨,
- 68', Craig M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 68', Connolly A. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
- 68', Clare S. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
- 70', Aitchison J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 70', Sweeney P. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
- 74', Adaramola T. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, El Mizouni I. ⚽,
- 79', Ballard D. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bakinson T. ⚽,
- 88', Brierley E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
54.6% | Draw
23.9% | Exeter City
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Leyton Orient - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.81) |
3.91 ↑
(3.79) |
4.37 ↑
(3.72) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Leyton Orient (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Exeter (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
- Leyton Orient has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Exeter is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leyton Orient is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cox S.
(Groin Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Inactive)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Exeter City?
Leyton Orient has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Leyton Orient?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Exeter City were as follows:
28.01.2025
Exeter City
-
Leyton Orient
2:6
01.10.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Exeter City
0:1
09.04.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Exeter City
2:2
09.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Leyton Orient
1:2
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
