Result
2:4
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (233/368) | 67% (202/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (233/368) | 67% (202/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (36/98) | 28% (20/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (84/147) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', O'Neill O. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 46', Casey K. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Wellens C. (A),
- 53', Happe D. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 3, Morris J. ⚽,
- 68', Mitchell D. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 4, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 74', Nelson Z. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
- 74', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 74', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 83', Ballard D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 84', Abdulai A. ↓, Fawunmi F. ↑,
- 90+5', Browne M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
40.3% | Draw
29.4% | Leyton Orient
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.34) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.08 ↑
(2.84) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
- Wimbledon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leyton Orient has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Tilley J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S.
(Injury)
Forrester W.
(Inactive)
Oluwayemi T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Leyton Orient?
AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against AFC Wimbledon?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient were as follows:
01.01.2026
Leyton Orient
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:3
04.02.2023
Leyton Orient
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
08.11.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Leyton Orient
2:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
