Samsunspor vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungarySport 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalSport TV5, Sport TV6
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.370.98
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
83
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
36
Passes
86% (342/396)79% (251/318)
Yellow cards
30
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.370.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.23
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
07
Shots inside the box
99
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
71
Free kicks
1415
Passes
86% (342/396)79% (251/318)
Long passes
46% (18/39)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
80% (48/60)70% (49/70)
Crosses
0% (0/8)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.80
Throw ins
1512
Fouls
1514
Tackles
71% (12/17)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1812
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.232.52
Goals prevented
-0.77-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Akgun Y. , Osimhen V. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Marius , Kayan Y. (A),
  • 29', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
  • 34', Gonul S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Torreira L. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Ndiaye C. , Marius (A),
  • 63', Guvenc G. 🟥,
  • 66', Sane L. , Sen B. ,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Marius , Kayan Y. (A),
  • 72', Coulibaly T. , Tavsan E. ,
  • 74', Yilmaz B. A. , Lang N. ,
  • 74', Bardakci A. , Singo W. ,
  • 75', Kayan Y. 🟨,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Ndiaye C. ,
  • 84', Sallai R. , Boey S. ,
  • 87', Mendes J. , Yavru Z. ,
  • 87', Kayan Y. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 90+1', Marius , Gonul S. ,
  • 90+1', Van Drongelen R. , Diabbate A. B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
20%
Draw
21.9%
Galatasaray
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 22.9% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 22.2% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Samsunspor - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (4.62)
    4.29
    (4.13)
    1.63
    (1.67)
    5.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Galatasaray?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Galatasaray (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Galatasaray is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Galatasaray is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Knee Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Asprilla Y. (Inactive) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Cakir U. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Yuksel C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    10.11.2024 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2
    02.02.2024 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    16.09.2023 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 4:2
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    27.04.2026 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 2:3
    23.04.2026 Samsunspor - Trabzonspor 0:1
    19.04.2026 Samsunspor - Beşiktaş 2:1
    13.04.2026 Eyüpspor - Samsunspor 1:2
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas ✔ 32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Kocaelispor329101326:36-1037
    11Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    12Alanyaspor326161037:38-134
    13Kasimpasa327111430:46-1632
    14Eyupspor32781726:45-1929
    15Antalyaspor32781730:51-2129
    16Genclerbirligi32771830:45-1528
    17Kayserispor325121524:58-3427
    18Karagumruk32662028:53-2524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )