Result
4:1
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | Sport TV5, Sport TV6 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/396) | 79% (251/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/396) | 79% (251/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (48/60) | 70% (49/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Akgun Y. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Marius ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
- 29', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
- 34', Gonul S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Torreira L. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Marius (A),
- 63', Guvenc G. 🟥,
- 66', Sane L. ↓, Sen B. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Marius ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
- 72', Coulibaly T. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 74', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
- 74', Bardakci A. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
- 75', Kayan Y. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
- 84', Sallai R. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
- 87', Mendes J. ↓, Yavru Z. ↑,
- 87', Kayan Y. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 90+1', Marius ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 90+1', Van Drongelen R. ↓, Diabbate A. B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor 20% | Draw 21.9% | Galatasaray 58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Samsunspor - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.74 ↑ (4.62) |
4.29 ↑ (4.13) |
1.63 ↓ (1.67) |
5.9% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Galatasaray?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Galatasaray (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Galatasaray will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Galatasaray is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Galatasaray is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Knee Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Asprilla Y.
(Inactive)
Baltaci M.
(Suspended)
Cakir U.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Yuksel C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Galatasaray?
Samsunspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Samsunspor?
Galatasaray has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
05.12.2025
Galatasaray
-
Samsunspor
3:2
11.04.2025
Samsunspor
-
Galatasaray
0:2
10.11.2024
Galatasaray
-
Samsunspor
3:2
02.02.2024
Samsunspor
-
Galatasaray
0:2
16.09.2023
Galatasaray
-
Samsunspor
4:2
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )