Result
2:3
27/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 31
- Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/390) | 83% (350/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/390) | 83% (350/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (95/122) | 61% (51/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Tavsan E. 🟨,
- 23', Mounie S. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Diabbate A. B. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Ntcham O. ⚽, Marius (A),
- 45', Diabbate A. B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kaya I. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
- 46', Akdag U. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
- 48', Lima N. 🟨,
- 57', Cift Y. E. ↓, Satka L. ↑,
- 57', Diabbate A. B. ↓, Van Drongelen R. ↑,
- 68', Mounie S. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 69', Aksoy F. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
- 72', Ntcham O. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 87', Maestro ↓, Makouta G. ↑,
- 87', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 89', Gonul S. 🟨,
- 90', Tavsan E. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
- 90', Mendes J. ↓, Albak E. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Yalcin G. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Elia M. ⚽, Ruan (A),
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
39.6% | Draw
29.9% | Samsunspor
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alanyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alanyaspor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.2) |
3.16 ↑
(2.96) |
3.08 ↓
(3.77) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 56% – 91.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Alanyaspor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 1.
- Alanyaspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Samsunspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alanyaspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Knee Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Yuksel C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Alanyaspor?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
01.12.2025
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
21.04.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
1:0
24.11.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
18.05.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
17.01.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
1:3
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
