Result
1:1
01/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 14
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/452) | 86% (362/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/452) | 86% (362/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (65/93) | 70% (54/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Musaba A. ⚽, Yavru Z. (A),
- 38', Kilinc E. 🟨,
- 44', Aydin E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Elia M. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 48', Akdag U. 🟨,
- 62', Aydin E. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 62', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 62', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 64', Aksoy F. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 69', Tomasson L. 🟨,
- 78', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 79', Hagi I. ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 85', Musaba A. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 87', Lima N. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 89', Holse C. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Yalcin G. ⚽, Akdag U. (A),
- 90+5', Mendes J. 🟥,
- 90+7', Makouta G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
51.3% | Draw
27% | Alanyaspor
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Samsunspor - Alanyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.81) |
3.49 ↓
(3.58) |
4.33 ↓
(4.41) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Alanyaspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Samsunspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1.
- Samsunspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alanyaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Ceesay E.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Ntcham O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Satka L.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Yuksel C.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana
(Injury)
Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
Celik I.
(Suspended)
Keskin E.
(Suspended)
Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
Ozyurt B.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Maestro
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Alanyaspor?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Alanyaspor were as follows:
21.04.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
1:0
24.11.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
18.05.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
17.01.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
1:3
25.12.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34:38 | -4 | 39 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:49 | -11 | 34 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
