Schalke 04 vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
21/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyRTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.171.52
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
134
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
42
Passes
72% (280/391)77% (337/438)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
3.171.52
xG on target (xGOT)
4.352.23
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
134
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
177
Shots outside the box
58
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
4117
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free kicks
819
Passes
72% (280/391)77% (337/438)
Long passes
42% (21/50)51% (41/80)
Passes in final third
65% (101/155)54% (42/78)
Crosses
19% (5/26)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.56
Throw ins
2827
Fouls
198
Tackles
75% (12/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
2.234.35
Goals prevented
-0.770.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hugonet J. (Own goal),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Nollenberger A. , Zukowski M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Dzeko E. , Aouchiche A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Pesch N. , Musonda L. ,
  • 46', Mathisen M. , Gnaka S. ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Karaman K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 53', 3 - 2, Zukowski M. ,
  • 56', Becker T. 🟨,
  • 65', 4 - 2, Ljubicic D. , Dzeko E. (A),
  • 68', 5 - 2, Karaman K. ,
  • 72', Becker T. , Ayhan M. ,
  • 72', Ljubicic D. , Sylla M. ,
  • 72', Kurucay H. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 76', Atik B. , Tachie R. ,
  • 76', Hercher P. , Ghrieb R. ,
  • 76', Dzeko E. , Gomis C. ,
  • 81', Aouchiche A. , Wallentowitz M. ,
  • 84', 5 - 3, Zukowski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 85', Nollenberger A. , Bockhorn H. ,
  • 90+6', Karaman K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
45.2%
Draw
25.4%
Magdeburg
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 25.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Schalke 04 - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.04)
    3.65
    (3.59)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    5.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Magdeburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Schalke (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Schalke (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Magdeburg (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.48%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Schalke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Magdeburg: Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 3:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Magdeburg were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Magdeburg - Schalke 04 0:2
    01.02.2025 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 2:5
    25.08.2024 Magdeburg - Schalke 04 2:2
    24.02.2024 Magdeburg - Schalke 04 3:0
    16.09.2023 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 4:3
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2
    31.01.2026 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0
    17.01.2026 Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04 0:0
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga