Result
0:0
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/392) | 82% (352/430) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/392) | 82% (352/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/102) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 43% (13/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
- 61', Unuvar N. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 62', Zamburek J. ↓, Scheperman S. ↑,
- 62', Ahlstrand E. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 68', Alarcon A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 73', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 73', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 78', Bozinovski R. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 81', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 90', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
- 90+5', Viergever N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
29.2% | Draw
26.9% | Utrecht
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Heracles Almelo - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
2.16 ↑
(2.08) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Utrecht will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 61.2% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Heracles (2.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Heracles (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Heracles (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Utrecht will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Utrecht (votes: 10 - 76.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
- Heracles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Utrecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Utrecht might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Heracles: Engels M.
(Knee Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Thigh Injury)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Horemans S.
(Calf Injury)
Vesterlund N.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Utrecht?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Heracles Almelo?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Utrecht were as follows:
10.08.2025
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
4:0
04.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Utrecht
2:0
24.01.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Utrecht
1:1
08.11.2024
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
23.02.2024
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
