Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varea
42.8% | Draw
29.3% | Arnedo
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Varea - Arnedo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.31) |
3.09 ↑
(3.05) |
3.25 ↑
(2.94) |
10.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 3.
- Varea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arnedo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Varea won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Arnedo?
Varea has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arnedo won against Varea?
Arnedo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - Arnedo were as follows:
10.09.2023
Varea
-
Arnedo
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 57:14 | 43 | 58 |
| 2 | Varea | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 58 |
| 3 | Anguiano | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Arnedo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 44 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 57:19 | 38 | 39 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Yague | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Vianes | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Pradejon | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Berceo | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | San Marcial | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Comillas | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 20:45 | -25 | 24 |
| 16 | Villegas | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 23:49 | -26 | 22 |
| 17 | Autol | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17:54 | -37 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 24 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 16:57 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
