Al-Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
16/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.100.29
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
94
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
42
Passes
90% (510/565)82% (278/341)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
3.100.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.690.44
Total shots
157
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
111
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
327
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1116
Passes
90% (510/565)82% (278/341)
Long passes
57% (21/37)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)74% (54/73)
Crosses
21% (4/19)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.22
Throw ins
1315
Fouls
1611
Tackles
73% (8/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4040
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.444.69
Goals prevented
-0.560.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Rebocho P. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, King J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Masouras G. , Rebocho P. (A),
  • 62', Petros , Ince B. ,
  • 63', Kramer B. , Al Abbas S. ,
  • 63', Gul G. , Al Hatila A. ,
  • 66', Hamzi M. , Fernandes P. ,
  • 74', Al Salem A. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Fortounis K. , Rebocho P. (A),
  • 78', Kanabah M. , Abdoulraouf A. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Masouras G. , King J. (A),
  • 83', King J. , Al Sultan H. ,
  • 83', Rebocho P. , Nasser B. ,
  • 84', Schenkeveld B. , Al Hafith A. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 1, Al Hatila A. , Bassogog C. (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Khaleej
61.1%
Draw
22.3%
Al Akhdoud
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 24.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 23.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Khaleej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Khaleej's performance.
  • Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.62)
    4.21
    (3.6)
    5.66
    (4.4)
    7.3%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Al-Khaleej (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Khaleej will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Khaleej will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Khaleej (votes: 11 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 3.
    • Recent performances by Al-Khaleej have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al Akhdoud's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Khaleej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Khaleej is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
    26.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:3
    26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 1:2
    14.03.2024 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:2
    22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Khaleej
    09.01.2026 Al-Khaleej - Damac 4:0
    02.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Khaleej 2:2
    29.12.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh 0:1
    26.12.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:2
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    13.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood 1:0
    30.12.2025 Al Akhdoud - Damac 0:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr27231376:215570
    2Al Hilal28208075:255068
    3Al Ahli SC28206255:203566
    4Al Qadsiah28187365:293661
    5Al Taawon27137749:351446
    6Al Ittihad28136945:38745
    7Al Ettifaq281261041:49-842
    8Neom SC281161136:39-339
    9Al Fayha28971235:43-834
    10Al Khaleej27871246:46031
    11Al Hazem27871229:48-1931
    12Al Shabab27791134:40-630
    13Al Fateh27771334:48-1428
    14Al Kholood28821836:56-2026
    15Damac284111325:46-2123
    16Al Riyadh28581529:52-2323
    17Al Okhdood27441923:57-3416
    18Al Najma27152125:66-418

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1