Result
1:3
30/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 2.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/359) | 77% (277/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 2.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 3.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/359) | 77% (277/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (93/132) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.65 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Calvo F. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Medran A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Nkota M. 🟨,
- 54', 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Pedroza J. ⚽, Narey K. (A),
- 61', Duda O. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
- 64', Nguen T. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Al Ghannam K. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 3, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Al Ghannam K. (A),
- 84', Pedroza J. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
- 84', Al Zabdani H. ↓, Abu Abd M. ↑,
- 84', Gul G. ↓, Al Harthi S. M. ↑,
- 84', Fagihy M. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Jalal Al Salem ↑,
- 90+1', Dembele M. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud
24.3% | Draw
24.8% | Al-Ettifaq Dammam
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↑
(3.78) |
3.76 ↓
(3.8) |
1.84
(1.84) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 7).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Al-Ettifaq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ettifaq is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ettifaq Dammam won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam were as follows:
02.01.2026
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al Akhdoud
2:0
08.02.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
0:2
28.08.2024
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
17.05.2024
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al Akhdoud
1:1
02.12.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
1:0
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Latest results of Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
