Result
3:2
02/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (127/196) | 85% (388/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (127/196) | 85% (388/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (40/74) | 81% (141/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Majrashi A. (A),
- 31', 2 - 1, Al Amri A. ⚽, Al Ghannam S. (A),
- 44', 2 - 2, Al Amri A. ⚽, Brozovic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
- 46', Al Nasser S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 2, Demiral M. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 61', Yahya A. 🟨,
- 64', Wesley ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
- 66', Atangana V. 🟨,
- 77', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 79', Al Sanbi A. 🟨,
- 81', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 86', Angelo ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
- 90', Martinez I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Al Amri A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 90+5', Abu Al Shamat S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Majrashi A. 🟥,
- 90+6', Joao Felix 🟨,
- 90+9', Boushal N. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
27.9% | Draw
22.9% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.17) |
4.09 ↑
(3.52) |
1.94 ↓
(2.07) |
6.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 1.
- In recent matches, Al-Ahli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
23.08.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2:3
13.02.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:3
13.09.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:1
15.03.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:1
22.09.2023
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4:3
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 62:23 | 39 | 58 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:44 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
