Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Duhail – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 ET
13/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.670.75
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
73
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
72
Passes
81% (460/565)68% (242/355)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
1.670.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.36
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
106
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
106
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1921
Passes
81% (460/565)68% (242/355)
Long passes
55% (38/69)39% (37/96)
Passes in final third
58% (87/150)48% (50/104)
Crosses
39% (7/18)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.46
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
2119
Tackles
60% (9/15)70% (16/23)
Duels won
6168
Clearances
2933
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.361.27
Goals prevented
0.350.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Abdulrahman M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Piatek K. 🟨,
  • 55', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 74', Bamba I. 🟨,
  • 86', Abdulrahman M. , Majrashi A. ,
  • 90', Bamba I. , Ali A. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Millot E. , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 96', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
  • 104', Ali A. 🟨,
  • 105+6', Zakaria S. 🟨,
  • 105+7', Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 115', Al Hawsawi Z. , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 117', 1 - 0, Mahrez R. ,
  • 120+2', Al Brake S. , Hamza M. ,
  • 120+3', Mahrez R. , Al Muwallad E. ,
  • 120+4', Al Muwallad E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Jeddah
67.6%
Draw
18.5%
Al Duhail
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 23.6% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 23.3% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+47.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.
  • Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-42.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Duhail might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-48%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahli Jeddah that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+43.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Duhail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (4.7)
    5.07
    (3.96)
    6.73
    (1.65)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail?
  • Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to safety reasons. First leg.
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Al Duhail have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail were as follows:
    29.09.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Latest results of Al Duhail
    08.04.2026 Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail 2:1
    04.04.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 3:2
    17.03.2026 Al-Shamal - Al Duhail 1:3
    12.03.2026 Al-Sailiya - Al Duhail 0:4
    26.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Sadd 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)3 : 4
    2Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)1 : 0
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)1 : 0
    7Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    8Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Al-Sadd (8)Vissel Kobe (2)3 : 4
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Johor DT (6)2 : 1
    3Machida (1)Al Ittihad (4)1 : 0
    4Buriram (4)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Vissel Kobe (2)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 2
    2Machida (1)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)1 : 0

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Machida (1)1 : 0