Lugano II vs Bavois – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Frizzi R. 🟥,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Eleouet A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 74', 1 - 1, Amirzade M. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano II
29.3%
Draw
22%
Bavois
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 24.8% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 24.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Lugano II - Bavois Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.91)
    4.21
    (3.68)
    1.9
    (2.08)
    8.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3).
    • Lugano II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bavois is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bavois is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano II - Bavois were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Lugano II - Bavois 0:0
    23.03.2024 Bavois - Lugano II 3:1
    16.09.2023 Lugano II - Bavois 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano II
    11.10.2025 Young Boys II - Lugano II 3:2
    04.10.2025 Lugano II - Paradiso 2:2
    28.09.2025 Basel II - Lugano II 3:2
    21.09.2025 Lugano II - Bulle 1:1
    17.09.2025 Lugano II - Luzern II 2:2
    Latest results of Bavois
    11.10.2025 Bavois - Biel-Bienne 3:2
    04.10.2025 Grand-Saconnex - Bavois 1:3
    27.09.2025 Young Boys II - Bavois 0:2
    20.09.2025 Bavois - Paradiso 3:2
    13.09.2025 Basel II - Bavois 1:4
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kriens18143154:243045
    2Bruhl18133243:222142
    3Bavois18123341:202139
    4Young Boys II18113439:261336
    5Biel19103643:301333
    6Basel II1987441:301131
    7Schaffhausen1974824:28-425
    8Zurich II1966733:35-224
    9Cham1973933:36-324
    10Luzern II1857644:42222
    11Lugano II1957724:38-1422
    12Kreuzlingen1956822:33-1121
    13Lausanne II19621137:41-420
    14Breitenrain1955923:28-520
    15Bulle1854934:37-319
    16Paradiso1946934:48-1418
    17Grand-Saconnex19361037:48-1115
    18Vevey19141412:52-404

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