Bavois vs Lugano II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Figueiredo G. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Bega I. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Parente J. ,
  • 32', 3 - 1, Alvarez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 79', 4 - 1, Clement L. ,

Chances of winning


Bavois
63.7%
Draw
20.1%
Lugano II
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.3% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 20.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Bavois - Lugano II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.51)
    4.57
    (4.37)
    5.67
    (5.39)
    9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
    • Recent form of Bavois has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lugano II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Bavois is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bavois - Lugano II were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Lugano II - Bavois 1:1
    12.04.2025 Lugano II - Bavois 0:0
    23.03.2024 Bavois - Lugano II 3:1
    16.09.2023 Lugano II - Bavois 2:1
    Latest results of Bavois
    19.04.2026 Biel-Bienne - Bavois 5:2
    15.04.2026 Bavois - Grand-Saconnex 2:0
    11.04.2026 Bavois - Young Boys II 0:0
    04.04.2026 Paradiso - Bavois 2:1
    28.03.2026 Bavois - Basel II 0:2
    Latest results of Lugano II
    19.04.2026 Lugano II - Young Boys II 0:6
    15.04.2026 Paradiso - Lugano II 1:1
    11.04.2026 Lugano II - Basel II 4:2
    08.04.2026 Lugano II - Zurich II 0:0
    02.04.2026 Bulle - Lugano II 2:0
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kriens29223489:375269
    2Bruhl29205479:374265
    3Biel29175768:402856
    4Basel II29157758:441452
    5Young Boys II30157864:451952
    6Bavois291541056:411549
    7Schaffhausen291351140:40044
    8Cham291261153:54-142
    9Bulle291151358:57138
    10Zurich II291081145:49-438
    11Luzern II29891268:71-333
    12Lugano II29891239:64-2533
    13Breitenrain29881340:45-532
    14Grand-Saconnex297101259:61-231
    15Kreuzlingen297101237:59-2231
    16Paradiso296101345:59-1428
    17Lausanne II30822053:77-2426
    18Vevey29152323:94-715

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