Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 22
  • Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaPars TV Arabic
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomGrenock Morton

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Brophy E. , Moffat O. (A),
  • 33', Gillespie G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kearney S. , Tod A. ,
  • 53', Ngwenya K. 🟥,
  • 58', Fraser R. 🟨,
  • 63', Brophy E. , O'Halloran M. ,
  • 64', Chilokoa-Mullen J. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, MacPherson C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Amade A. , Kane Ch. ,
  • 68', Morrison C. , Turley F. ,
  • 84', O'Halloran M. 🟨,
  • 85', Garrity M. , Shaw N. ,
  • 90+2', Delaney Z. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greenock Morton
31.3%
Draw
30.6%
Dunfermline Athletic
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 30.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 30.6% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.76)
    3
    (3.07)
    2.43
    (2.61)
    8.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 1 - 50%). Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Greenock (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 2.
    • Greenock is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dunfermline is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 1:0
    02.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 0:0
    02.05.2025 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0
    01.03.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 2:1
    21.12.2024 Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone26149347:212651
    2Partick Thistle26139440:301048
    3Arbroath25117736:32440
    4Ayr24712530:27333
    5Raith26791028:26230
    6Dunfermline25861133:32130
    7Morton26612827:33-630
    8Queen's Park25610928:38-1028
    9Airdrieonians26581320:34-1423
    10Ross County25581223:39-1623

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One