Ayr United vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 30
  • Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
94
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
60
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Comrie A. , Shaw N. (A),
  • 17', McMann S. 🟨,
  • 30', Garrity M. , Longridge J. ,
  • 33', Holt K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Longridge J. 🟨,
  • 50', King L. , McAllister N. ,
  • 58', Finney G. 🟨,
  • 60', Turley F. , Summers B. ,
  • 70', MacPherson C. 🟨,
  • 71', Shaw N. , Blues C. ,
  • 73', McKenzie M. , Bannigan S. ,
  • 73', Finney G. , Dick L. ,
  • 79', Dempsey B. 🟨,
  • 82', MacPherson C. , Lyall A. ,
  • 90+3', Gillespie G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
50.7%
Draw
26.5%
Greenock Morton
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.1% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 26.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Ayr United - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.79)
    3.52
    (3.4)
    4.09
    (4.29)
    7.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ayr United - Greenock Morton?
  • Users Predictions: Ayr United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ayr is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Greenock Morton were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1
    18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1
    23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2
    08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1
    28.12.2024 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:0
    Latest results of Ayr United
    14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1
    10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2
    03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1
    28.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:1
    24.02.2026 Ayr United - Inverness 1:2
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone ✔ 362211367:254277
    2Partick Thistle ✔ 361715453:361766
    3Arbroath ✔ 3613131043:41252
    4Dunfermline ✔ 361491352:411151
    5Raith361291543:42145
    6Queen's Park369141335:48-1341
    7Ayr368151338:47-939
    8Morton368141436:52-1638
    9Airdrieonians368121635:49-1436
    10Ross County368101836:57-2134

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    St Johnstone is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiership
    Partick Thistle is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)
    Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
    Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)