Result
3:2
28/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 17
Chances of winning
Setúbal 71% | Draw 19.2% | Serpa 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Setúbal - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.45) |
4.74 ↑ (4) |
9.33 ↑ (6.22) |
9.7% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Setúbal is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Setúbal won against Serpa?
Setúbal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Setúbal?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Serpa were as follows:
17.09.2023
Serpa
-
Setúbal
0:1
Latest results of Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to