Result
4:0
07/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 21
- Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Costa Goncalves G. 🟨,
- 24', Pahama N. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 39', Camenzuli R. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jonny ↓, Ceter D. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Ceter D. ⚽,
- 67', JP Iseppe ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
- 67', Fenech M. ↓, Pace Cocks N. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Ceter D. ⚽,
- 75', Mbong J. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
- 75', Garcia M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 75', Polito V. ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
- 75', Camenzuli R. ↓, Inzoudine Y. ↑,
- 79', Costa Goncalves G. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
- 84', Letherby D. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamrun Spartans
72.8% | Draw
17.5% | Naxxar Lions
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+1%)
Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.33) |
5.2 ↑
(4.67) |
9.36 ↑
(8.33) |
9.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Naxxar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Hamrun (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4.
- Hamrun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Naxxar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hamrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hamrun is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Hamrun will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:3. (average 3.3:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Naxxar Lions?
Hamrun Spartans has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Hamrun Spartans?
Naxxar Lions has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
26.10.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:1
31.03.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Naxxar Lions
4:0
27.09.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:6
04.02.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Naxxar Lions
4:1
23.09.2023
Naxxar Lions
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:4
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
