Result
1:1
15/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 29
- Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Tavares D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Zammit A. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
- 55', Yankam Y. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
- 63', Thaylor 🟥,
- 64', Yuri ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
- 68', Letherby D. ↓, Bugeja S. ↑,
- 81', Kontchou C. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
- 86', Paiber B. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Pace Cocks N. ⚽,
- 90+1', Mbende E. 🟨,
- 90+9', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions 9.8% | Draw 18% | Valletta 72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naxxar Lions's form might have worsened.Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valletta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-17%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valletta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naxxar Lions - Valletta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.47 ↑ (4.45) |
5.14 ↑ (3.55) |
1.28 ↓ (1.65) |
8.2% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Valletta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Naxxar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valletta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
- In recent matches, Naxxar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valletta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Valletta has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Valletta?
Naxxar Lions has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valletta won against Naxxar Lions?
Valletta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Valletta were as follows:
01.02.2026
Valletta
-
Naxxar Lions
4:2
05.10.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Valletta
0:1
28.04.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Valletta
4:0
07.01.2024
Valletta
-
Naxxar Lions
1:2
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Latest results of Valletta
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |