Schalke 04 vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen).

2. Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	1.99
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
79% (317/402)	80% (342/426)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	1.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	2.70
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
8	15
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
27	31
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
79% (317/402)	80% (342/426)
Long passes
51% (29/57)	59% (49/83)
Passes in final third
59% (80/135)	66% (73/110)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.58
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
34	42
Clearances
23	20
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
2.70	1.46
Goals prevented
0.70	1.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Donkor A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Obermair R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Younes A. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Mehlem M. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
59', Seguin P. 🟨,
62', Hojlund E. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
62', Bachmann J. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
71', Seguin P. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
71', Bulut T. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
72', Michel S. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
80', Mehlem M. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
80', Brackelmann C. ↓, Hoffmeier M. ↑,
89', Ansah I. ↓, Platte F. ↑,
89', Bilbija F. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Schalke 04
24.5%

Draw
24.1%

Paderborn
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25.3%

42.4%

Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.93)	3.93 ↑ (3.74)	1.85 ↓ (2.23)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 46.5% – 86.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3.
Recent performances by Schalke have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paderborn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Drexler D. (Suspended) Karius L. (Groin Injury) Murkin D. J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F. (Back Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:13. (average 2.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Paderborn?

Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Schalke 04?

Paderborn has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:

06.12.2024 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:4

09.03.2024 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 3:3

29.09.2023 Paderborn - Schalke 04 3:1

Latest results of Schalke 04

27.04.2025 Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Paderborn

26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn 3:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Paderborn - Köln 1:2 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Paderborn	12	9	2	1	20:10	10	29
2	Schalke	12	9	0	3	16:7	9	27
3	Elversberg	12	7	2	3	24:11	13	23
4	Darmstadt	12	6	4	2	19:11	8	22
5	Hannover	12	6	3	3	22:18	4	21
6	Karlsruher SC	12	6	3	3	19:18	1	21
7	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	20:14	6	20
8	Hertha Berlin	12	6	2	4	15:10	5	20
9	Arminia Bielefeld	12	5	2	5	25:18	7	17
10	Holstein Kiel	12	4	3	5	13:12	1	15
11	Nurnberg	12	4	3	5	13:16	-3	15
12	Preussen Munster	12	4	2	6	17:21	-4	14
13	Bochum	12	4	1	7	16:18	-2	13
14	Greuther Furth	12	4	1	7	18:30	-12	13
15	Dusseldorf	12	3	2	7	10:20	-10	11
16	Braunschweig	12	3	1	8	12:24	-12	10
17	SG Dynamo Dresden	12	1	4	7	16:24	-8	7
18	Magdeburg	12	2	1	9	9:22	-13	7

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