Paderborn vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:3
26/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5P
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalySky Sport MIX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.322.28
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
47
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
72
Passes
74% (272/366)82% (376/461)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.322.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.702.81
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
72
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
11
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2128
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
23
Free kicks
812
Passes
74% (272/366)82% (376/461)
Long passes
46% (26/57)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
55% (39/71)63% (76/121)
Crosses
37% (7/19)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.471.42
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
128
Tackles
74% (20/27)77% (17/22)
Duels won
7660
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
2.811.70
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Curda L. ⚽, Baur M. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Marino S. ⚽,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Ljubicic D. ⚽, N'Diaye M. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 2, Aouchiche A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Muller R. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
  • 80', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Ljubicic D. ⚽,
  • 85', Sticker J. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
  • 85', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 86', N'Diaye M. ↓, Becker V. ↑,
  • 86', Ljubicic D. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
  • 88', Sylla M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Aouchiche A. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paderborn
34.9%		Draw
34.5%		Schalke 04
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.6% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paderborn's form might have worsened.
  • Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Paderborn - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.31)    		 2.93 ↓
    (3.26)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.01)    		 -4.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Schalke 04?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 28.1% – 78.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Ankle Injury) Copado L. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Schalke: Dzeko E. (Shoulder Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Katic N. (Knee Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Obermair R. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1
    02.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 0:2
    06.12.2024 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:4
    09.03.2024 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 3:3
    29.09.2023 Paderborn - Schalke 04 3:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    18.04.2026 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2026 Paderborn - Magdeburg 4:3 ✺
    05.04.2026 Greuther Fürth - Paderborn 0:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    19.04.2026 Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster 4:1 ✺
    12.04.2026 Elversberg - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2026 Schalke 04 - Karlsruher 1:0 ✺
    26.03.2026 Schweinfurt - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 1:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    9Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    10Bochum3210101246:45140
    11Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    15Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga
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