Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (356/450) | 74% (225/304) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (356/450) | 74% (225/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 66% (57/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Glumac T. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Bulbul A. T. ⚽, Benny (A),
- 19', Ceylan O. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
- 21', Albayrak M. 🟨,
- 41', Bardhi J. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 1, Amaral J. ⚽, Fall M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Glumac T. ↓, Oksuz B. ↑,
- 46', Ndongala D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 73', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
- 77', Fall M. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
- 77', Amaral J. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
- 78', Ciftci H. 🟨,
- 80', Parmak A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Acar E. ⚽, Cinemre E. (A),
- 89', Soukou C. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 89', Benny ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 90+2', Douglas Tanque ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
37.5% | Draw
27.5% | Bandırmaspor
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.47) |
3.38 ↓
(3.55) |
2.64 ↑
(2.56) |
8.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Umraniyespor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Umraniyespor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Aydin E.
(Yellow Cards)
Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
Kalender T.
(Eye injury)
Mulumba R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Akyazi K.
(Injury)
Burgaz G.
(Injury)
Ciftci H.
(Injury)
Hountondji C.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Bandırmaspor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Umraniyespor?
Bandırmaspor has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
04.10.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Umraniyespor
2:1
02.03.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Umraniyespor
2:0
05.10.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Bandırmaspor
1:1
24.02.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Umraniyespor
4:1
29.09.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Bandırmaspor
0:1
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
