Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (433/542) | 69% (225/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (433/542) | 69% (225/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (65/114) | 57% (48/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Victor Sa ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Chernikov A. ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 71', Victor Sa ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 71', Petrov S. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 71', Bezrukov R. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 72', Douglas Augusto ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 80', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
- 83', Joao Batxi ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 89', Jocic B. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 90+5', Siwe J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
62.1% | Draw
22.9% | Rubin Kazan
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.57) |
4.18 ↑
(3.8) |
6.35 ↑
(5.6) |
4.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
- Krasnodar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rubin: Teslenko E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Krasnodar: Jubal Junior
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Rubin Kazan?
Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Krasnodar?
Rubin Kazan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
03.05.2025
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
2:1
10.11.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
1:1
02.03.2024
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
1:1
30.09.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
